Pricing your property – correctly!

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One of the most challenging jobs a broker/agent faces is coming up with the right listing price for a property.

A “Comparable Market Analysis or CMA” should indicate information on sales in the neighborhood within the last 6 months to a year to be used as comparables. If there are no homes offering good comparables you expand the search to homes outside the neighborhood with features similar to the house being listed. You then add or subtract based on the features and benefits one home has over the other.

A challenge we come up against with potential sellers is them telling us how much they “need” to get out of the sale, not taking into consideration the market conditions or competition.

What a seller needs or wants to get out of the sale is not relevant to a listing agent and more importantly to a buyer. As an agent, we want to understand a seller’s position. If the price is off base with the current market conditions it is a lose-lose situation for everyone.

“Buying a listing”- this occurs when agents are hungry to acquire inventory at any price in the hopes of being able to drop the price if the house isn’t sold

They too were once buyers and looking for the best deal they could get but when the shoe is on the other foot they somehow think all buyers will try to offer less, low ball and they want to discourage this right up front with a higher price. If only that logic worked…What happens when an agent isn’t honest with a seller when it comes to price?

Sellers who decide on a price for their homes based on what they need to get out of it are in a loosing situation and so are their agents. Wasting time marketing an overpriced home normally results in the overpriced home being shown to sellers to prove their pricing strategy is in order.

A second way method of pricing is coming up with a per square foot price. Taking the price per square foot of sold properties of like quality. Both methods will get you close to a price range the property will likely sell at. You also take into consideration the competing properties on the market for sale, properties under contract and sold properties.

This all makes sense until the seller feels it is worth more money versus the neighbor’s home which sold. Taking the ego and emotions and financial scenarios out of the equation is one of the main reasons you hire a real estate professional. Our task is to objectively tell you where your property fits in the inventory of properties on the market and why.

If the property is priced to high when first listed it runs the risk of being marked as an overpriced listings and serves the competition well. Agents will show your house only to prove to the buyer how well priced another property is in comparison.

“Let’s price it high we can always come down”.

You will miss the buyers who are looking in the price range your property should be at versus one they can’t afford. By the time you reduce those buyers have moved on. Coming on the market and being viewed as a good value is where you want to be positioned. You may have to reduce your price as the inventory changes but the excitement of being a “new” listing is gone. Coming on the market and being perceived as overpriced can deter agents from showing the home. If an agent doesn’t see the value it is not likely their client will either.

Honesty and knowledge of the market are paramount when pricing

If this is a buyers market where are the buyers?

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2008  ended with 176 closed sales – 64 condominiums, 3 lots, 23 Planned Unit Developments, 86 homes.This market has found us in a situation where opportunities abound, inventories are good and yet, buyers feel no urgency to buy.

It wasn’t that long ago buyer’s were buying in, ironically enough, a sellers market.  Now the tables have turned and buyers are pausing, vacillating and hesitating based on the fear of paying too much.  Some are waiting to see if the financial crisis and bailout packages will turn around the economy and if so, how quickly.

While buyers and sellers can never predict when the bottom has hit or the peak reached for selling, it is safe to bet that smart investors are buying.  People purchasing in a buyers market have watched prices adjust and are looking for sound investments with predictable results.  Home values will most certainly continue their long standing trend of appreciation over time.  At the very least appreciation will see to that.  Buyers who purchased homes in 2008 and continue to in 2009 will be pleased when the tables once again turn and the American dream of home ownership delivers.

Incline Village is a second home market which does not have a dependency on any one industry and does not face a new construction inventory lying dormant in high numbers.

How short sales affect home values.

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When reviewing the sales there are always exceptions to be taken into consideration with sales. They may or may not be considered an “arms length transaction” meaning willing seller and willing buyer .  Exceptions to be taken into consideration include, REO’s, Short sale, distressed sale or developers purchasing for speculative building.

We predict the number of short sales or REO’s will increase over 2009 by a small margin and mainly in the lower price ranges under $800,000.

There are currently 21 homes defined as -New construction/never occupied/under construction.

The one quality these properties share is the large square footage with 12 over 5000 square feet. The equation for building out a spec house took into consideration the ability to maximize the number of square feet a lot is allowed.  Many factors play into this equation including stream zones, steepness of the grade, set backs, easements, levelness of the lot all dictated by Tahoe Regional Planning agency.  A few years ago the bigger the better for buyers. Not the case today. Sales indicate buyers are more interested in smaller homes between 2500-4000 square feet.

Homes sales in Incline Village for 2008

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Total 84 residential home sales

A sample of what buyer’s paid for in 08 include:

Lowest price sale:  $566,000- 984 Galaxy Way- 3 bed/ 2 bath/1408 sq. ft.

Median price: $1,120,000- 118 Rubicon Peak- 3 bed/2 bath/ 1220 sq. ft.

High price: $6,700,000- 1565 Vivian Lane- 5 bed/ 5 bath/8040 sq. ft.

Price Range Number Sold Median Sales Price List to Sold % Days on Market
$500-700 12 $657,000 89 144
701-900 17 $766,250 93 165
901-1.1M 10 $930,000 89 113
1.1M-1.3M 8 $1,115,000 96 90
1.3M-1.5M 8 $1,250,000 94 165
1.5M-1.8M 8 $1,500,000 88 322
1.8M-2M 9 $1,825,000 98 240
2M-2.5M 2 $2,350,000 100 35
2.5-3M 4 $2,412,500 85 126
3M-4M 4 $3,202,500 92 295
4M+ 2 $5,300,000 60 293

Average price differential  96%  Average list price $1,466,280    Average Sold price $1,352,736

Average Days on Market    177   Median  list price $1,250,000  Median Sold price $1,110,720

Condominium Sales for 2008

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Total closed sales 64

The complexes with the highest number of sales –

Mountain Shadows with 7 sales ($315,000-$520,000)

McCloud with 6 sales all two bedroom units ($523,000-$577,000)

Bitterbrush with 6 sales ( $462,000- $1,100,000)

Beds Number Sold Low Median High
1 4 $150,000 $197,000 $385,000
2 20 $300,000 $523,000 $1.6M
3 32 $250,000 $520,000 $1,988,000
4+ 8 $380,000 $515,000 $1.1M

Condominium market review- 2008 and 2009

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There are currently 147 condominiums on the market:

Bed Number Low Median High
1 18 $174,500 $375,000 $495,000
2 48 $229,900 $499,000 $$1,949,000
3 70 $224,900 $510,000 $4,395,000
4+ 11 $395,000 $509,000 $3,495,000

For buyers here is what you can expect to find within each size and price range.

One bedroom units:

Under $200,000(Low) -Pinebrook complex located off Incline Way, small units offer 600 sq. ft. of living space in a three story building. Apartment style living with exterior stairwells and close quarters. Great for an entry Incline, you aren’t buying for the ambience.

For $375,000 (Median)Forest Pines with 753 sq. ft., the complex offers a swimming pool/ clubhouse and walking distance to ski beach. New siding and roofing assessments will need to be negotiated.

At $495,000(High)McCloud – 797 sq ft. with one car garage, walking distance to Ski Beach. Nice grounds and well managed association.

Two bedroom units:

Low end prices start at $229,900 for a Southwood Court complex offering 1040 sq. ft. central location on a busy street, Southwood. Higher rental area.

Median price $499,000 Fairway Pines, located off the Championship Golf Course off Village Blvd., 1452 Sq ft. with two car garage. Layout is compact, three levels with stairs to access main living area.

High price $1,949,000 will place you in a Stillwater Cove unit with 1586 Sq. Ft. located in Crystal Bay. Complex has all the amenities you expect, outdoor pool (open in summer) tennis, golf carts take you to your unit. Full time guards and gated facility, pier and lake views.

Three bedroom units:

Low $224,900 will place you in an Incline Manor located on Northwood Blvd. Apartments converted to condominiums, 1088 sq. ft.

Median$510,000 Couer Du Lac, low elevation complex with outdoor pool and small clubhouse, walk to Ski beach, 1200 sq. ft. living area. Newer siding and roofs just completed.

High $4,395,000 Stillwater Cove larger unit with 3,624 sq. ft. panoramic lake views.

Four Bedroom units:

Low $395,000 Sierra Pines off Southwood Blvd. with 1468 sq ft – 4 bedrooms open onto a main living area, no handicap access to upper levels.

Median $509,000 Forest Pines, 1388 sq. ft. low elevation with pool on site and walking distance to Ski beach. Open layouts and easily updated.

High $3,495,000 Crystal Shore Tower- Penthouse unit with 2840 sq. ft. Panoramic Lakeviews. Beautifully remodeled unit on one level with direct access from elevator.

Where are the best buys?

The higher the number of listings the higher motivation on the part of sellers. Mountain Shadows located off of Skiway has 11 unit on the market ranging in size from 1360-1782 sq ft. priced between $374,500-$499,999.

Bitterbrush located off Fairview Blvd. has 8 units listed ranging in price from $425,000-$795,000, two and three bedroom units, many with lakeviews.